A new study estimates the frozen food category will grow 2% to $17bn in 2010.[1]
Long term, the category could hit $19bn in the next five years (a 10% increase). Overall the category will not shine, but will expand in niches like frozen pizza, handheld breakfast foods and prepared vegetables. Growth in the category will depend on the challenges from fresh/chilled convenience foods, restaurant takeout and meals assembled at home or prepared from scratch.
Competition from fresh/chilled drove down the frozens category from 2005-10 period because of consumer perceptions frozens are less nutritious, tasty but a good value. Supply chain issues have slowed the acceptance of fresh-prepared foods as retailers demand ridiculously-long shelf.
Frozens’ problems are not good news, however, for restaurants: the success of frozen pizza and handheld breakfast items came at the expense of restaurants and foodservice outlets as a low-cost alternative to dining out. Restaurants, however, who do not have a retail presence are likely to be marginalized. Saying “no” to retail doesn’t mean your in-restaurant menu will be more valuable to consumers, or that they’ll choose to eat out over heat & eat.
New items, especially in the ethnic niches of Indian, Japanese and Middle Eastern flavors or in flavor fusions such as Mexican-style, Thai-topped and Jamaican Jerk pizzasare fueling growth, too.












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